Written by Cory Puffett
Published October 19, 2022
This continues to be an incredibly weird year in fantasy football. We’ve seen weeks where running backs disappear and others where they seem almost overpowered. The same can be said for wide receivers, defenses, and kickers. This week, the disappearing act came for the quarterbacks and the wide receivers, as well as the other position groups, frankly.
It all culminated in our 12 managers averaging well under 100 points per game in Week 6, despite 7 of our 12 managers reaching triple digits. The league-wide total was 1,162.86 points, which ranks 111th out of 131 regular season weeks in AFL history.
This was the first time since the final week of 2016 that we scored fewer than 1,200 points in a week across the league, granted we came very close in the final week of 2021 when we totaled 1,202.02 points.
Our league-wide coaching also took a hit this week as our managers were successful on just 7 of 16 coaching risks and cost themselves a net 17.36 points, bringing our total success rate down to .485 and our net point gain down to 27.64 points through six weeks.
This week we add the final metric to our power ranking formula: recency. Here is how we calculate teams’ recency scores:
(4W + ((L5) + (1.1 x L3) - (2.1 x LA))) / 10
W = team wins in the last five games
L5 = average team score in last five games
L3 = average team score in last three games
LA = league average score for season so far
We’ve found that a recency score of 3 or better is very good while a score of -3 or worse is very bad. At the six-week mark of the season, Alex Mayo has the best recency score at 7.1 with Sean Kennedy second best at 4.2; the worst score belongs to Will Massimini at -4.2 and Andrew Perez’s -1.5 the next worst.
We’ll get to our updated power rankings a bit later. First, let’s jump into our game-by-game breakdowns from Week 6.
Alex was the only manager who entered this week with a winning head-to-head record against his opponent who did not emerge victorious.
Instead, Cory earned his 14th career Peyton Manning Award, breaking a tie for fourth most all-time and improved to 14-11 in his game of the week appearances while dropping Alex to 3-6 in his career.
It was an excellent game of the week as it came down to Monday night after Jalen Hurts briefly gave Cory a narrow lead (just 0.01 points!) before giving it away on two kneel downs to end Sunday night’s contest. Fortunately for Cory, Gerald Everett picked up the slack on Monday to give him a cushion to protect him from any stat corrections.
Of this week’s two unlucky losers, Alex had the highest point total. This loss balanced out the lucky win he earned in Week 3 against Andrew Perez.
While he isn’t penalized any coaching points or, worse, a coaching win thanks to it, Alex did miss out on a victory due to leaving the week’s TE4 on his bench. Hunter Henry scored 14.05 points. If Alex had started him as a second tight end in place of either of his FLEX players, something he did with Dawson Knox and Daulton Schultz in each of the first two weeks of the season, he would have remained unbeaten.
With a two-game lead, Cory has the best odds of winning his division according to PlayoffComputer. His chances currently stand at 69.7 percent.
With just 119.61 points, Alex had the 8th lowest score ever for a Tom Brady Award winner. Regardless, he got it done to lead the league in scoring for the sixth time in his career, tying William Battle and Stephen Perez and moving just one Tom Brady Award behind our league’s only multiple-time champion, Danny Hatcher.
Eric did everything he could to bring his record up to .500; he extended his 100-point game streak to four games, second best in the league, and he is the kicker coach of the week thanks to Ryan Succop’s 14.40-point outing in the Bucs’ embarrassing loss to the Steelers.
Joining Alex Mayo, Eric was the other unlucky loser in the AFL this week, and it balances out the lucky win he earned against Will Massimini just a week ago.
Alex could have given our league a significant scoring boost for the week, but he cost his team a league-high 21.03 points by failing on both of his coaching risks to earn the Hue Jackson Award.
He missed out on 13.72 points by adding and starting the New Orleans Saints defense instead of the Washington Commanders, plus an additional 7.31 points by trading away Kirk Cousins to acquire and start Matthew Stafford.
In addition to those coaching risks, Alex left some more potential points on the table by leaving the week’s QB4 on his bench. Trevor Lawrence scored 26.82 points, which will now be forgotten in the AFL’s history books.
Brandon had five Top 5 positional performers this week, the most in the league, including one at each offensive position.
This was the first time since Week 1, when he led the league in scoring, that Brandon finished among the top half of scorers in the league.
Despite Gabe Davis’s best efforts for Andrew on Sunday afternoon, this game was well in hand early in the day thanks to a great game-day waiver pickup by Brandon. He spent $12 of FAAB and got almost two points per dollar from Deon Jackson, the Colts backup running back, who had 22 touches on the day. He had more receptions than Jonathan Taylor has ever seen targets in his career.
Mark Andrews gave Stephen a big boost with his 21.85 points, which rank 90th all-time among tight ends in the AFL. He was the only player to enter the Top 100 leaderboard at his position this week.
It turned out Stephen didn’t really need it all that badly because Evan had a terrible week. It doesn’t quite enter the 10 worst games we’ve seen since lineups expanded in 2016, but it was close.
Evan had a lot of let downs on his roster. Melvin Gordon had just three rushing attempts and Mike Williams had just two receptions on Monday night, which completely killed any hope of a comeback. He needed about 20 points from each of them to pair with the 13.90 points from Brandon McManus. Instead, he got less than 3 points combined.
Sean will be holding his breath tomorrow as stat corrections drop from the Elias Sports Bureau. He’s in no danger of suffering his first loss of the season, but he is currently holding on to the longest active streak of 100-point games with six in a row, but it could easily be taken away from him tomorrow morning.
Sean earned one of two lucky wins we saw in our league this week, and it gives him two lucky wins this season, tying him with Brandon as the luckiest managers in the AFL. In fact, by breakdown he’s been luckier than Brandon by a full game.
One impressive aspect of Sean’s win was that he overcame two players, Marquez Valdes-Scanting and Tyler Higbee, combining for just 0.90 points while Will’s lowest scorer was Garrett Wilson with exactly 1 point.
Once again, William gets attention for being involved in a luck game this week. He’s lost two games as a Top 6 scorer this season, but now he’s won his second game while falling outside the top half of the league. It all balances out to give him a luck rating of zero.
Anthony left a lot of points on his bench this week as Chase Claypool was the AFL’s WR5 with 21.13 points. William, meanwhile, got a huge lift from the New England Patriots defense, which scored 16.83 points to make him the defensive coach of the week.
The Patriots also helped earn Coach of the Week honors for William. He earned a league-high 14.79 points and the win thanks to his success on two coaching risks. FleaFlicker suggested he add and start the LA Chargers defense instead of the Patriots and William’s decision earned him 6.19 points. He added another 8.60 coaching points by starting Harrison Butker instead of Younghoe Koo, who had moved ahead of Butker in the projections by Sunday morning.
William was the only manager in the AFL this week with Top 5 starters in both his defense and kicker slots.
Free Agent All-Stars vs Tom Brady Award Winner
Every week this season, we will compare the best possible lineup made of players who are unowned in the AFL to the top scoring team of the week in our league. Included percentages for the Free Agent All-Star players represent the percentage of FleaFlicker leagues in which each player is rostered as of Tuesday morning.
Final Score:
Free Agent All-Stars – 175.87 [highest score of season]
Alex Mayo – 119.61
YTD Tom Brady Award Winner Record: 1-5
On to our recap of Week 6 and this week's power rankings:
Game of the Week: Cory Puffett vs Alex Mayo
After taking a lead in Sunday’s early window, Cory watched his lead disappear as the Bills carried Alex into the distance, only for the Eagles to bring Cory back to within a quarter of a point on Sunday night. Gerald Everett cleaned things up on Monday.
With his fifth straight week atop the power rankings, Alex has passed Anthony Battle and Andrew Perez in career #1 rankings.
Check back tomorrow for our Week 7 preview. It’ll be our second week of divisional matchups this season so many of them could wind up having playoff implications by the time we reach the season’s conclusion.