Written by Cory Puffett
Published October 12, 2022
It’s been a super busy week for me, so forgive me for racing through this week’s recap by comparison to most weeks. Forgive me, too, for there likely being more
For the second time this season, we had three lucky winners and three unlucky losers. This means that our Top 6 scorers were all playing in three games while our Bottom 6 scorers were all playing in the other three games. This doesn’t happen very frequently, and this very well may be the first time it’s ever happened twice in one season. We’re only a third of the way through 2022, so that’s pretty wild.
Our 12 managers combined to score 1,352.32 points in Week 5, which ranks 44th out of our 130 regular season weeks in league history.
Coaching has been strong this season across the AFL. As a league, we’ve scored 45 points (0.75 points per game per team) more than if we simply followed FleaFlicker projection suggestions.
It’s not much, but last year as a league we averaged about 1.6 fewer points per game per team than if we’d followed platform projections. Basically, on average we’re each earning at least 2 points more this year than last year simply from making better coaching decisions.
This week alone, our managers were successful on seven of nine coaching risks and gained a net 17.62 points. We’re right at a 50% success rate through five weeks.
Let’s jump into our game-by-game breakdowns from Week 5.
Alex had already led the AFL power rankings for three weeks running. We’ll go ahead and make that four straight weeks at the top after he took home both the Peyton Manning Award for winning the game of the week and the Tom Brady Award for leading the league in scoring.
It’s his second Tom Brady Award of the season, after he also led the AFL in scoring in Week 2, and the third of his career. It’s also the third Peyton Manning Award he’s won in his career, the most recent coming in Week 7 of last season. This is the 30th time in AFL history both awards go to the same manager.
Alex improved to 3-5 in his career game of the week appearances. Anthony, meanwhile, is the first manager to appear in 30 game of the weeks and he is now 15-15 in those games.
Alex had an embarrassment of riches at the defensive position this past week. He left the #4 unit on his bench as the Indianapolis Colts scored 17.48, but he only missed out on 0.35 points as the Buffalo Bills finished as the week’s #5 defense.
The 159.53 points Alex scored rank 31st in league history. He was helped by Josh Allen’s 37.46-point performance in Buffalo’s massacre of the Pittsburgh Steelers. That total ranks 44th all-time among starting AFL quarterbacks.
It wouldn’t have been enough to make up the difference, but Anthony left the week’s top tight end total on his bench as Taysom Hill accounted for four touchdowns and scored 36.12 points on Ant’s bench. That would have been the 4th highest total for a tight end in AFL history.
Through the first third of the season, Alex is the third luckiest manager in the AFL while Anthony joins his brother as the second unluckiest manager.
One of two managers who has been luckier than Alex, Sean currently sits at 1.5 wins above expected (WAE) by breakdown. By that metric, he’s just as lucky as Stephen April has been unlucky this season as the bookend the league’s range of breakdown luck.
This week was no luck for Sean, though, as he finished second in scoring to join Alex as the league’s only 5-0 teams. Before this year, only six managers had ever remained unbeaten after five weeks and 2019 had been the only year in which two managers made it to 5-0.
As it happens, Sean was one of the two managers to do it in 2019, along with Eric Meyer.
Sean got a nice boost from Daniel Carlson this week. His 17.00 points are tied for the 45th most by a kicker in a single game in AFL history.
Meanwhile, William had a great performance go to waste as Austin Ekeler led the AFL’s running backs in scoring with 35.78 points, good for #58 on the all-time positional list.
William also earns honorable mention for the Week 5 coach of the week award. He earned a league-high 13.05 points by succeeding on his only coaching risk, starting Kareem Hunt instead of Nyheim Hines, who was injured after just a handful of plays on Thursday night.
Thanks to Cory’s first game without 100 points since last season, and Stephen’s first such game of the year, Sean is now the only manager who has scored at least 100 points in every game this season and has the league’s longest active streak at five games.
Alex was a Top 6 scorer for the first time all season and has nothing to show for it after suffering the unluckiest of our three unlucky losses this week. This balances the lucky win he earned in Week 3.
He was the kicker coach of the week for Week 5 thanks to Nick Folk’s 20.00 points, which are tied for the 6th most in AFL history.
Evan didn’t have any performances that require mention for historical relevance, but he did have six Top 5 positional players, four offensive players plus a Top 5 kicker and a Top 5 defense. The only position he did not have a Top 5 player at was running back. That balance of strong performances allowed him to pull off the narrow victory (pending Thursday stat corrections from the Elias Sports Bureau.
As things currently stand, Evan is the AFL’s coach of the week while Alex takes home the Week 5 Hue Jackson Award.
Evan earned 3.28 points, greater than his margin of victory, thanks to his success on one coaching risk; he started Geno Smith at quarterback instead of Carson Wentz.
Alex, meanwhile, succeeded on one of his two coaching risks, but he cost his team a league-high 9.93 points and the win when all was said and done. He made a wide decision to add and start the Tennessee Titans defense instead of the Jacksonville Jaguars and earned 1.94 points, but then he cost his team 11.87 points by starting Antonio Gibson instead of David Montgomery.
Both Eric and Will had Top 5 performers for the week in their lineups, but this was not a week of historical relevance for either manager. Eric is one of four managers who is at least 1 WAE by the number of Top 6 performances they’ve had this season.
Brandon trailed by more than 40 points entering Monday night, but Patrick Mahomes threw four touchdown passes, all of them to Travis Kelce, as the two combined for more than 60 points to carry him to the win.
Kelce only gained 25 yards on the night, but thanks to those four trips to the end zone he scored 30.15 points, good for 17th all-time among AFL tight ends.
Stephen left the league’s #3 defensive performance on his bench. The Dallas Cowboys scored 20.50 points, 22.87 more points than the Miami Dolphins scored as his starter. That’s right, the Dolphins lost him points. It would have been a coaching risk, but if Stephen had made that swap, he would’ve won by more than 8 points.
This is another game we’ll be watching closely as stat corrections drop Thursday morning. Cory barely outlasted Andrew, and even that is only thanks to a preliminary stat correction due to Andrew’s special teams being charged a point for a fumble and being rewarded half a point for its subsequent recovery.
This game shouldn’t have been close. Andrew left the top wide receiver performance on his bench in the form of Gabe Davis and his 31.35 points, including a game-opening 98-yard touchdown catch. He also left the week’s #4 receiver on his bench as Tyler Lockett went off for 25.10 points. Plus, he missed out on the week’s #5 tight end performance as Hayden Hurst’s 13.60 points sat on his bench.
Andrew did get a great performance from Justin Tucker on Sunday night as the Ravens kicker scored 17.80 points, tied for the 35th most in AFL history.
Cory had his historic performance from the San Francisco 49ers defense, who scored 23.15 points to give him defensive coach of the week honors. Their total ranks 93rd in AFL history.
Cory’s lucky win this week balances out the unlucky loss he suffered back in Week 1.
Free Agent All-Stars vs Tom Brady Award Winner
Every week this season, we will compare the best possible lineup made of players who are unowned in the AFL to the top scoring team of the week in our league. Included percentages for the Free Agent All-Star players represent the percentage of FleaFlicker leagues in which each player is rostered as of Tuesday morning.
Final Score:
Free Agent All-Stars – 163.00
Alex Mayo – 159.53
YTD Tom Brady Award Winner Record: 1-4
On to our recap of Week 5 and this week's power rankings:
Game of the Week: Alex Mayo vs Anthony Battle
Josh Allen led four 20-point scorers on Alex’s roster with 37.46 points. Despite Anthony having three 20-point scorers, including a 30-point performance of his own, this contest wasn’t close, and Alex continues to roll through his early-season schedule.
I’ll do my best to get a Week 6 preview up tomorrow, so come back tomorrow to check for that!